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Over
the last couple of years, companies like Intel, Microsoft, IBM, Cisco
Systems and Citigroup have funded Jordanian companies. In addition
to a direct investment in Estarta, a software development outfit,
Microsoft also launched an Arab Academy for Microsoft Technologies
in Amman. "Jordan
has something appealing for companies like Microsoft -- a pool of
programmers and talent, in addition to the strong backing for the
IT sector," said Jawad Abbasi, president of the Arab Advisors
Group.
"Microsoft's
decision to invest in Jordan was partially affected by the fact
that Jordanian companies were always its regional arm while developing
localized versions of Microsoft products," Abbasi said.
From:"Jordan Puts Eggs in Tech Basket", Wired News,
Sep. 30, 2002
The
main consequence of this situation is very high connection rates,
that currently stand at USD390, as well as the lack of prepaid services.
"Evidently, people able to afford a mobile are primarily business
people and government officials", analyst Sarah Alalul explained.
Although, there were fewer than 200,000 GSM users in the country
of more than 17 million people, the Arab Advisors Group projects
Syria's GSM subscribers to exceed 4.5 million in 2006, a 22.86 percent
penetration rate.
From:'GSM revenues in Syria to exceed USD400 million by 2003",
The Syria Report,
05 March 2002
Despite
reaching high penetration levels for communications services, the
UAE market still has high Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) levels,
which is an invitation for telecom competition.
"The GSM market still has room for growth. The subscriber base
grew rapidly at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 66% between
1997 and 2000," said analyst Hala Baqain. "Even at a high
penetration rate of close to 58%, the monthly ARPU per GSM user
in the UAE comes to $54 - a desirable ARPU for GSM operators in
competitive countries with a similar penetration rate," Baqain
added
From:"Strong comms market growth predicted for Gulf states",
EDTN Europe , Feb 18, 2002
The fact that Orascom Telecom now owns GSM (Global System
for Mobile communications) as well as Internet ventures in Jordan,
indicates its future plans to become an ICP in Jordan once the country
liberalizes its PSTN (public switched telephone network) and ILD
(International Long Distance) market in 2005", wrote Sarah
Alalul, Arab Advisors Group's Jordan analyst, in the report.
"The
presence of strong, profitable mobile operators who own extensive
transmission networks of their own in big Arab markets means that
alternative networks are already in place in these markets,"
noted Jawad Abbassi, Arab Advisors Group's president.
From: "Jordan's second ICP starts to take early shape",
menareport.com, (January 21, 2002)
The
result is high online charges and poor service. A study by Arab
Advisers, an Amman-based telecoms consulting firm, estimates that
740,000 users in eight Middle East countries have between them 777
million bits per second (MBPS) of bandwidth - that's the same amount
as just 518 cable modem users
Four
years is a long way off in Internet time, but Jawad Abassi, who
heads Arab Advisors, says the benefit of deregulation should begin
earlier because the state-owned telecoms have to ready themselves
for competition. Egypt has liberalized its ISP industry and in January
plans to cut online charges dramatically. France Telecom (FTE) acquired
40% of Jordan Telecom in 2000 and rates for ISPs have since fallen
50%.
To
meet the needs of non-English speakers, there has been a proliferation
of Arabic-language content in the last two years, which has helped
drive the Internet's rapid growth. Literacy among the young is higher
than the average, which will gradually boost the number of Internet
users.
But
many observers worry that low incomes will create a natural ceiling
for the Internet and that growth will tail off by 2005. "The
potential addressable user market is very low," says Abassi.
"You have to first address the pyramid of human needs - food
shelter and health comes before the Internet."
From: "MIDDLE EAST WEB: After Late Start, Region Surfs Internet",
Dow Jones International News,(January 7, 2002)
"When it comes to the percentage share of International Long
Distance minutes (outgoing and incoming), Saudi Arabia has the highest
share at 33.9%, while Syria has the lowest share at 2.7%",
noted Shahin Shahin. "By examining the ratio of international
voice circuits available in each market to its share of the outgoing
and incoming minutes within a regional context, we calculated the
Arab Advisors Group's International Voice Circuits Utilization (IVCU)
index for all the countries in the report", Mr. Shahin added.
The
report shows that Syria has the highest IVCU Index score at 2.68
while Lebanon had the lowest at 0.44. "This means that Syrians
making international phone calls are much less likely than the Lebanese
to encounter busy signals. A high IVCU Index score could also mean
that the circuits available are being under utilized", noted
Sami Sunna'. "Clearly, a very high index score maybe just as
bad as a very low one", Mr. Sunna' added. Kuwait, Lebanon,
Oman, Saudi Arabia and Sudan all have IVCU index scores of less
than 1, while Egypt, Jordan, Syria and the UAE have IVCU index scores
of more than 1
.
From:"International connectivity in the Arab World",
Arabia.com, (December 24, 2001)
Jawad
Abbassi, president of the Arab Advisors Group, explains that although
it does not have specific figures, it believes that the combined
revenue of the region's leading portals, as they currently stand,
is very low. "I would put it at under $ 1 million per year,"
he says
. Abbassi explains that the main problem with online
advertising space itself is not limited and is, in fact, increasing
more quickly than the amount of advertising there is to go around..
."The portals are generally not doing very well because
they depend on re-hashing content from other news providers such
as AFP and Reuters," says Sarah Alalul, analyst, Arab Advisors
Group
.
However, Sami Sunna, analyst, Arab Advisors Group, argues that there
is a big difference between content developed for an Arabic audience
and Arabic Language content
. "when we speak of Internet
users in the Arabic World we have to remember that they are not
necessarily Arab or Arabic speaking - the UAE is a shining example,
as around 70% of Internet users are not Arab," he says
" in Egypt, Jordan and Lebanon, most of the users are actually
Arabs. But in Lebanon and Jordan they are English language literate.
For example, Lebanon has a strong history of English and French"
From: "Portal Focus, Growing Pains", Arabian Communication
News, (December 2001)
The
Arab World is poised for a major round of privatisation and liberalisation
milestones in telecommunications that will spur growth in regional
electronic government initiatives.
"A virtuous cycle for e-government is around the corner, brought
about by growth in the use of the Internet, GSM and broadband,"
say the Arab Advisors Group
The Internet, communications and new media research consultancy
says Arab countries - home to more than 250 million people - have
yet to see truly liberalised communication sectors.
When
they do, competition will bring: Better service, expanding consumer
bases for communication services [and] Cost-based pricing.
The
Arab Advisors Group, based in Amman, Jordan with a presence in London,
is to reveal new research into the infrastructure readiness for
e-government of Arab states at a major conference in Dubai on 3rd
February 2002. The Dubai Government recently unveiled its e-government
Internet portal (www.dubai.ae).
During
the Middle East e-Government Forum, at the Crowne Plaza Hotel, organised
by the Institute for International Research (IIR), Jawad Abbassi,
Arab Advisors Group's President, will examine the effects of liberalisation
and privatisation on infrastructure and e-government initiatives.
From: "Arab world opening for e-Government", Chat Arab
Inc,(December 10, 2001) http://www.chat-arab.com
The Arab countries, home to more than 250 million people, are yet
to have truly liberalized communications sectors that will bring
in what competition elsewhere brought: better service, expanding
bases of consumers of communications services and cost-based pricing,
which in general means lower rates although it could mean higher
local rates as cross subsidization of services is usually the first
thing to go in a competitive market. Liberalized markets will also
enhance global investor interest in the countries as opportunities
attract international operator, vendors and finance.
"The
picture varies markedly between the Arab countries", noted
Jawad Abbassi, Arab Advisors Group President. "Morocco is the
clear market leader in introducing liberalization followed by countries
like Jordan, Egypt and Lebanon. The Gulf States are still monopoly
countries with some level of competition in Kuwait-Internet and
GSM-and Internet in Saudi Arabia", Abbassi said.
From: "Arab communication markets on the threshold of unprecedented
competition", MENA REPORT (October 2001)
"The
Arab world is bandwidth starved and will remain that way for several
years, according to a new report by a research group.
The estimated 740,000 internet subscribers in eight Arab countries
share a combined bandwidth of just 777 mbps, says the report published
by the Arab Advisors Group
based in Jordan."
From: "Arab web growth stunted by huge lack of bandwidth",
CommsMEA (October 2001 edition.)
"Overall,
Internet bandwidth costs in the region remain at much higher rates
than those in the United States or even Europe," said Jawad
Abbassi, president of Arab Advisors Group. "Being small operators
on the global scene, the ISPs/operators still lack any peering arrangements
with international backbone providers. As such they continue to
pay the complete cost of full-circuit connections to the international
Internet backbone operators. Add to this the existence of cross-subsidization
(local rates by international rates) by monopoly operators and the
cost becomes even higher."
Liberalization and privatization steps are gather momentum across
the region. Five of the markets already have plans to introduce
competition in international servoce by 2005, and Arab Advisors
predicts the bandwidth situation will improve as international bandwidth
rates come down and ISPs expand their bandwith without extra costs.
From "Arab World Suffering from Bandwidth Drought"
, CyberAtlas (6 September 2001)
"The
fixed services tender is expected to be finalized by 2002, and the
Moroccan government is banking on a successful process to attract
investments as well as collect hefty license fees." Explained
Hala Baqain, an Arab Advisors Group analyst. Arab Advisors group
estimates that the Moroccan communication market will expand and
eventually reach the full competition phase by 2003.
Arab Advisors Group concludes in its research note that Morocco
sets the right example for many other Arab countries, especially
the ones who are non-oil exporting and are in a bad need to upgrade
their communication markets.
From "Arab Advisors Group predicts communication landscape
change in morocco" Arabia On Line (18 June 2001)
"The
paradox that will result from introducing Free Internet in Egypt
is that ISPs will start to encourage users to connect for longer
hours in order to increase their revenues, whereas in the unlimited
account current scheme, ISPs prefer shorter connection hours."
explained Shahin Shahin..... Arab Advisors Group concludes in its
Research Note that the introduction of the Free Internet model in
Egypt will result in a boost in the number of Internet users in
the country and an increase in the revenues of the Egyptian ISPs."
From "Free Internet in Egypt by the end of the year"
Middle East Wire (25 June 2001)
"The
Kuwaiti government has received a good grade from a regional economic
think tank over its continuing effort to deregulate its mobile telephone
market. Kuwaits cellular market is on track towards
full competition and much more responsive GSM operators, wrote
the Amman-based Arab Advisors Group, which provides research service
to government and private sector enterprises involved in information
economy in the emerging Middle East and North Africa. .... Nonetheless,
commented Sami Sunna, full competition can only be expected
to be achieved as soon as the Kuwaiti government decides to withdraw
most of its power from both operators. As things are at present,
the Kuwaiti government holds significant shares in both operators."
From "Kudos for Kuwaiti government's sell-off of cell phone
shares" Mena Report (24 June 2001)
"In
its report, the Arab Advisors Group, notes the crucial importance
of Internet fundamentals: solid margins and economies of scale.
It also stresses that established businesses adding an Internet-based
channel to their existing sales channels will have the biggest chances
for success."
From "Arab World Holds Potential for E-commerce" CyberAtlas
(24 Jan 2001)
"Online
businesses in this region tend to have lower burn rates than those
in the US and Europe and can thus achieve profitability on lower
revenues Online ventures in this region should focus on the aggregate
Arab market rather than on individual countries "
From "Arab Advsiors Group: Future looks bright for Arab
e-commerce" ebusinessforum.com (24 Jan 2001)
According
to the Arab Advisors Group, the deal puts the market value of Maroc
Telecom at US$ 6.04 billion, which is around five times the year
2000 revenues of almost US$ 1.19 billion, and less than ten times
year 2000 EBITDA. The report compares the new valuation to $1.08
billion paid in the near past by the Medi Telecom consortium, led
by Telefonica (Spain) and Portugal Telecom, for the second GSM license
in the country, and provides a comparative analysis of the two deals
.
"
From "MENA telecom evaluations face a reality check "
Arabia.com (3 Jan 2001)
"The
[Arab Advisors] Group suggests that Egypt and Jordan must liberalize
labor laws for the IT sectors between them to allow and encourage
free flow of skilled IT professionals between the two countries.
This would make it easier for companies to relocate into either
of the countries and will enhance the combined IT attractiveness
of the three countries.
According
to the Group's core body of research, the Internet penetration rate
of the UAE has reached 14.07 percent, ranking it amongst countries
with 'Pervasive' penetration rates, with more than 180,000 Internet
accounts and some 414,000 users."
From "Emerging IT trio of UAE, Jordan, Egypt: Markets to
complement one another" The Star Weekly (3 Jan 2001)
"One
consulting group [Arab Advisors Group] has proposed that Egypt,
along with Jordan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), pool their
human resources. Jordan, like Egypt, is vying to become a regional
IT hub while the UAE has the highest Internet penetration in the
Arab region and is also trying to become a regional hub, through
its own Silicon Valley, Dubai Internet City. Instead of competing
with each other, it suggests that Jordan and Egypt cooperate to
market their lower cost IT workers to computer companies in the
UAE."
From "The Next India? Egypt's Software Dream" ITU Internet
Country Case Studies (Dec 200)
"So
far, cellular licenses have brought in close to $4 billion for Arab
governments according to Arab Advisors Group.... Arab Advisors Group
also believes that a country like Jordan has lost at least $150
million in potential upfront license fees, in addition to potential
sales and income taxes (calculated by bench marking with other countries)
by bundling the second cellular license as a deal sweetener when
attracting a strategic investor for the government-owned national
telecom provider....The Jordanian government, for example, missed
out on maximizing its financial gains by failing to liberalize its
cellular market in 1998."
From "Cellular Liberalization brings in over $4billion in
licenses for Arab Governments" The Jordan Time (Tuesday, 12
Dec 2000)
"Jordan
wants to become the Arab world's online hub. It has certainly fostered
some of the region's more exciting websites, and has a lot of IT
talent.....But a lot remains to be done. Despite Jordan Telecom's
efforts, the infrastructure is poor: too slow and too expensive.
For example, users have to pay $65 for unlimited access, compared
to $15 dollars in the US. According to Arab Advisors Group, a new
economy consultancy, Jordan will have only 35,000 internet subscribers
and 100,000 users by the end of 2000."
From "The internet dream" by Anne Feitz (Mon, 04 Dec
2000 09:15:50)
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