| Bahrain's
well-developed market has a savvy monopoly operator. Yet, it can
also sustain another operator!
A newly released country report from the Arab
Advisors Group fully analyzes the Bahraini communications market
and its monopoly operator Batelco. The report shows a market that
can sustain effective competition in cellular service.
September 5, 2002 -
Bahrain maybe underestimated for its small land area and population
however its telecommunications market hosts one of the most profitable
and successful operators in the region. Bahrain's communications
market is rewarding, in yearend 2001 its total revenues exceeded
US$ 450 million. Voice services, GSM and fixed, remain the mainstay
services, as they constituted 68% of the Batelco's total revenues
in 2001.
A new report "Bahrain Communications Projections-2002",
was released to the Arab Advisors Group's (www.arabadvisors.com)
Strategic Research Service subscribers on September 05, 2002. The
report shows that the signals from Bahrain are all positive for
liberalization. The healthy state of the savvy and profitable Batelco
means that the government will not fear for the operator from competition.
Though, new entrants may have a lot to fear from Batelco should
a fair regulatory regime be absent from Bahrain. Given the higher
than regional average rates for Internet, datacomm and GSM services,
and the limited options for customers, we believe that these three
segments may be the first to be liberalized in Bahrain.
"The demand for the PSTN services has leveled off. Batelco
was able to serve the entire country by providing an integrated
network that offers a wide portfolio of services. Bahrain will have
marginal additions to the number of PSTN subscribers parallel to
the growth of the natural households as well as businesses' growing
needs". Arab Advisors Group's analyst Hala Baqain, author of
the report, noted.
The 40-plus pages report, which includes 40 detailed exhibits on
the market, shows that Bahraini GSM subscriber base is still growing.
The number of mobile users who are between the ages of 14 and 21
has risen rapidly in the last two years, mainly due to the successful
launch of the prepaid SimSim service in addition to the availability
of cheaper handsets in the market. With this increase in the young
generation users, the demand for personalized services such as downloading
ringing tones and more sophisticated wireless Internet services
will definitely increase. When implemented by Batelco, this will
expand the revenue pie for Batelco and should be seriously considered
by the future GSM competitor since competition will be based on
competitive rates and the VAS offered. The Arab Advisors Group projects
Bahrain's GSM subscriber base to reach 625,000 in 2006, a penetration
rate of 77%.
The Arab Advisors Group's team of analysts in the region has already
produced more than 109 reports on the Arab World's communications
markets. Following the report on Bahrain, comprehensive reports
on Tunisia's communications markets and Jordan and Qatar's datacommunications
markets will be out shortly. The reports can be purchased individually
or received through an annual subscription to Arab Advisors Group's
(www.arabadvisors.com) Strategic Research Service. To date, Arab
Advisors Group has served more than 60 global and regional companies
by providing reliable research analysis and forecasts of Arab communications
markets to these clients.
|